Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.353864 0.419389 0.492502 0.579960 0.681562 0.795694 0.933437
2025-02-02 0.283848 0.376650 0.491106 0.641880 0.834412 1.071096 1.383056
2025-02-09 0.232622 0.335643 0.472406 0.665612 0.929590 1.275415 1.760105
2025-02-16 0.188406 0.292003 0.438390 0.657693 0.974635 1.412129 2.056767
2025-02-23 0.152120 0.251521 0.400080 0.634580 0.990705 1.505287 2.297190
2025-03-02 0.123017 0.216029 0.362447 0.604931 0.990179 1.570325 2.498642
2025-03-09 0.110328 0.204174 0.358697 0.625382 1.065711 1.752435 2.888011
2025-03-16 0.092257 0.180031 0.331240 0.603194 1.069718 1.822876 3.109145
2025-03-23 0.083180 0.170150 0.326088 0.616898 1.132703 1.990777 3.497651
2025-03-30 0.075048 0.160619 0.320027 0.627723 1.190962 2.154738 3.891965
2025-04-06 0.065898 0.147581 0.305662 0.621407 1.217651 2.266549 4.206065
2025-04-13 0.058316 0.136445 0.293294 0.616978 1.246569 2.383520 4.537001
2025-04-20 0.054211 0.132330 0.294792 0.640719 1.332824 2.614118 5.096776
2025-04-27 0.054560 0.138120 0.317234 0.708932 1.511587 3.029082 6.026211
2025-05-04 0.050968 0.134323 0.319037 0.734951 1.609748 3.301768 6.713507
2025-05-11 0.045045 0.123972 0.305224 0.726273 1.636757 3.440802 7.158730
2025-05-18 0.038752 0.111547 0.284977 0.700942 1.626220 3.505046 7.463592
2025-05-25 0.032898 0.099116 0.262860 0.668438 1.596519 3.527650 7.686726
2025-06-01 0.030978 0.096822 0.264568 0.690860 1.688513 3.804899 8.442523
2025-06-08 0.026785 0.087432 0.247453 0.666532 1.673364 3.857720 8.741245
2025-06-15 0.025008 0.084640 0.246634 0.681558 1.749254 4.108698 9.470857
2025-06-22 0.023247 0.081570 0.244660 0.693426 1.818775 4.350991 10.198950
2025-06-29 0.020892 0.076210 0.235770 0.686501 1.842627 4.494427 10.723389